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Mathematics > Dynamical Systems

arXiv:1804.02696 (math)
[Submitted on 8 Apr 2018]

Title:SIQ: a delay differential equations model for disease control via isolation

Authors:Stefan Ruschel, Tiago Pereira, Serhiy Yanchuk, Lai-Sang Young
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Abstract:Infectious diseases are among the most prominent threats to mankind. When preventive health care cannot be provided, a viable means of disease control is the isolation of individuals, who may be infected. To study the impact of isolation, we propose a system of Delay Differential Equations and offer our model analysis based on the geometric theory of semi-flows. Calibrating the response to an outbreak in terms of the fraction of infectious individuals isolated and the speed with which this is done, we deduce the minimum response required to curb an incipient outbreak, and predict the ensuing endemic state should the infection continue to spread.
Comments: 26 pages, 7 figures
Subjects: Dynamical Systems (math.DS)
MSC classes: 92B05, 34K19
Cite as: arXiv:1804.02696 [math.DS]
  (or arXiv:1804.02696v1 [math.DS] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1804.02696

Submission history

From: Stefan Ruschel [view email]
[v1] Sun, 8 Apr 2018 14:35:21 UTC (637 KB)
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