Economics > Econometrics
[Submitted on 16 Sep 2021 (v1), last revised 24 Nov 2021 (this version, v5)]
Title:Policy Choice and Best Arm Identification: Asymptotic Analysis of Exploration Sampling
View PDFAbstract:We consider the "policy choice" problem -- otherwise known as best arm identification in the bandit literature -- proposed by Kasy and Sautmann (2021) for adaptive experimental design. Theorem 1 of Kasy and Sautmann (2021) provides three asymptotic results that give theoretical guarantees for exploration sampling developed for this setting. We first show that the proof of Theorem 1 (1) has technical issues, and the proof and statement of Theorem 1 (2) are incorrect. We then show, through a counterexample, that Theorem 1 (3) is false. For the former two, we correct the statements and provide rigorous proofs. For Theorem 1 (3), we propose an alternative objective function, which we call posterior weighted policy regret, and derive the asymptotic optimality of exploration sampling.
Submission history
From: Masahiro Kato [view email][v1] Thu, 16 Sep 2021 21:27:03 UTC (27 KB)
[v2] Tue, 12 Oct 2021 21:02:23 UTC (28 KB)
[v3] Wed, 20 Oct 2021 17:40:50 UTC (24 KB)
[v4] Sat, 20 Nov 2021 07:44:56 UTC (30 KB)
[v5] Wed, 24 Nov 2021 10:10:34 UTC (30 KB)
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